Christine Quinn has not yet officially announced her candidacy for Mayor on NYC, but her lead over her opponents is only growing and almost reaching the threshold of 40% to avoid run-off, according to the latest Quinnipiac poll published Wednesday morning.
In the Democratic primary for mayor, Quinn leads with 37 percent, more than the three other serious candidates combined, according to the poll. Public Advocate Bill de Blasio has 14 percent, with 11 percent for 2009 Democratic mayoral candidate William Thompson and 9 percent for Comptroller John Liu. Another 27 percent are undecided.
"Council Speaker Christine Quinn is edging up toward that magic 40 percent that would make her the Democratic nominee without a primary run-off. Is that possible in a four- candidate field? We'll watch as this develops," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It's still early, unless the State Legislature moves the primary up to June," Carroll added.
By margins of up to 3-1, voters back any of the leading Democrats over Lhota: Quinn leads 63 - 19 percent; de Blasio is up 58 - 18 percent. Thompson is ahead 55 - 20 percent; Liu leads 53 - 22 percent.
Only 10% of voters say they would be "enthusiastic" to elect a business executive as mayor, while a modest 47% said they would be "comfortable" electing someone from the private sector.
Stunningly, 55% of voters don't know enough about former Comptroller Bill Thompson, the 2009 runner-up, to form an opinion about him, the poll found. That's a serious issue for the candidate who has run in three citywide races and is thought to depend on name recognition to propel him through the Democratic primary, notes Andrew Hawkins.
Another interesting fact. is the high number of undecided among Black and Hispanic voters. While the overall number of undecided are 27%, 32% of Black and 33% of Hispanic voters remain undecided. This number might open a door for A Hispanic candidate like Rev. Erick Salgado, who's planning to join the race next month, or serve as a spoiler in the general if Carrion runs as an Independent.