The dream of the Democrats avoiding a runoff could be put to rest, as the fight for second place is all open. City Council Speaker Christine Quinn's chances of inching ahead to the magic number has dealt a severe blow, following a barrage of criticism and attacks in recent weeks, the latest Quinnipiac poll shows.
Ms. Quinn is still considered the frontrunner 32 percent among Democratic registered voters, yet a diminishing - five-month low and a significant dip from late February when 37 percent of voters polled said Quinn was their top pick. Nonetheless, Quinn remains far ahead of her Democratic rivals, with Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, who also had a bad couple of weeks, in 2nd place with 14 percent, Bill Thompson with 13 percent, and City Comptroller John Liu with 7 percent of the vote.
Sal Albanese and Erick Salgado were not polled.
“There’s not much mystery about this race: it’s Christine Quinn and the other guys,” said Maurice Carroll, the director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It’s hers to lose. But that doesn’t mean she’s got it sewed up, by a long shot.” On the other side of the aisle, while there's not much a choice, Former MTA Chair Joseph Lhota leads with 23 percent, followed by Doe Fund founder George McDonald at 11 percent and businessman John Catsimatidis with 8 percent. Another 52 percent are undecided.
Again, only Lhota was measured as a potential challenger to the Democratic nominee, which puts less trust in the polling firm that only polled a sample of 188 Republicans. Regardless, Lhota's chances of winning the mayoral race is as equal as Romney's shot to win NYc in the last presidential election.
Lhota trails any of the Democrats in head-to-head matchups by substantial margins: Quinn leads 59 - 19 percent; de Blasio is up 55 - 18 percent; Thompson is ahead 55 - 17 percent and Liu leads 52 - 20 percent.