As they always do, Hunter Walker and Colin Campbell from The Observer had a little fun putting together the never-ending list of candidates vying to succeed Mayor Bloomberg. Who is the front-runner, who are the favorites, who are the inclusive underdogs, and what about the assortment of protest candidates and oddballs who bring more color to the race? Will the packed primary pull out a winner, or a runoff?
To G-d the answers.
Nonetheless, Walker and Campbell left the steamy office in Manhattan to tour the forest, and came back with lots of nuts to crack.
In summary here are the odds, the candidates strengths and weaknesses, and their path to victory:
Political muscle. Would be first woman and first openly gay mayor. Ties to Mr. Bloomberg. Maxed out coffers with $6 M. raised.Short temper. Ties to Mr. Bloomberg.Shore up progressive flank. Get Mr. Bloomberg's endorsement (and hopefully financial support or independent expenditure backing)--after the primary.
Strengths: African-American base. Surprised some by raising more than $1 million recently.Weaknesses: Off to a slow start. Still has to catch up to rivals' campaign chests. Less exciting than C-Span.
Lincoln-esque height, union support, redefines family diversity. Raised $725,000 since July.It's hard to run as a progressive firebrand without scaring off some suits.Try to convince Democrats that Ms. Quinn is a closet Republican.
Hard-core supporters.Weaknesses: Legal bills eating up campaign resources.Path to Victory: U.S. attorneys are reprimanded for unjustly prosecuting him.
Supported gay rights when it was unpopular in this town. Still around.Last held office in 1997 and has lost mayoral races twice already.Raise millions more than anyone expects him to.
Lots of money, probably. White House connections.He's a Democratic Mitt Romney. Romney lost.Flood the race with his money; hope people notice him.
The only socially conservative Democrat in the race. [And Hispanic]There aren't too many socially conservative Democratic voters.Hope all of his primary rivals tie at exactly 16 percent each, leaving him with an opening to sneak through.
Strengths: Saved subway system after Sandy. Spouse is a well-regarded GOP fund-raiser. Twitter prowess. [lil' risky though..]
Sizable war chest. Could appeal to Latino voters.
Strengths: Homeless supporter ( Doe Fund)= nice guyWeaknesses: Unclear support among people with homes
Absurdly rich. Has earned allies by financing GOP party operations. Strong connections to powerful Dems including the Clintons.Path to Victory: The city suddenly yearns for another billionaire mayor.
Rev. A. R. Bernard
The most captive Sunday-morning audience.
And there are more... but ya know..