The three major Democratic candidates for mayor would beat
Joe Lhota, the favored Republican mayoral candidate by a large margin, according
to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
Former MTA Chair & CEO Joseph Lhota leads in the
Republican primary with 23 percent of the vote, followed by businessman John
Catsimatidis with 9 percent, newspaper publisher Tom Allon with 5 percent,
former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion with 3 percent and Doe Fund
founder George McDonald with 2 percent, while 53 percent remain undecided.
Among Democrats, Coucil Speaker, Christine Quinn retains a
double-digit lead over her likely rivals, with thirty-five percent of the vote,
compared to Public Advocate Bill de Blasio who has 11 percent, 10 percent for
former City Comptroller William Thompson and 9 percent for Comptroller John
Liu.
Quinn has steadily risen in Quinnpiac polling, going from 26
percent percent in May to 35 percent today. The other candidates have basically
held steady, including de Blasio.
31 percent still remain undecided, which gives place for
another candidate to officlaly jump in and gain momentum.
Sal Albanese and Erick Salgado have also expressed their willingness to participate in the Democratic primary for mayor.
“Council Speaker Christine Quinn still dominates the
Democratic field. There is almost no
gender gap for any candidate. For
example, Quinn gets 36 percent of women and 34 percent of men, while Liu gets
10 percent of men and 9 percent of women,” said Maurice Carrol, Quinnipiac
University pollster.
When asked if they have a favorable or unfavorable view of
De Blaiso, Liu and Thompson, a majority of Democratic voters said they
"haven't heard enough" to form an opinion. For Quinn, only 26 percent
say they haven't heard enough.
By 3-1 margins or more, New York City voters back any of the
three leading Democrats over Lhota:
• Quinn
leads 62 – 17 percent;
• Thompson
is up 55 – 19 percent;
• de Blasio
is on top 57 – 17 percent.
In a May 2, 2001, Quinnipiac University poll,
then-Republican Michael B1oomberg trailed Democratic contenders by margins of
52 – 24 percent or more.
Besides deficits of 68 to 76 percentage points among
Democrats, Lhota trails among independent voters, 44 – 24 percent against
Quinn, 38 – 26 percent against Thompson and 39 – 24 percent against de Blasio.
"Who are those guys?" asked poll director Maurice
Carroll, rhetorically. "Almost no one knows the Republicans who say they
want to be mayor."
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